No way, Jose: Hurricane slightly weakens in Atlantic

Posted September 14, 2017

In its 11 a.m. advisory, the NHC said the center of the storm was located about 450 miles north-northeast of Grand Turk Island and 645 miles north-northwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico, with wind speeds of 75 mph.

Jose is a Category 4 hurricane with 130 miles per hour winds on Sunday and is expected to gradually weaken over the next few days.

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"By days 4 and 5, Jose should track toward the west-northwest with a bit faster forward motion as the aforementioned mid-level high strengthens to the northeast of Jose".

However, Irma is expected to fizzle out over land while Hurricane Jose will make a loop before moving west again. On the five-day track (see the latest), Jose is expected to remain in the Atlantic through Sunday.

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There are no coastal watches or warning in effect for Jose. "It will push the storm away from us". The furthermore path of Jose at present is uncertain and it is still being monitored whether Hurricane Jose will pose any major threat to the East Coast of the United States.

Fortunately, over the weekend, Jose only brushed the islands of the Caribbean that had been slammed by Irma, such as Barbuda, Antigua and the Virgin Islands. Of 20 runs of the GFS model ensemble forecast Monday morning, 25% resulted in an eventual landfall in the USA, and another 25% in Canada.

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But the European computer model, the one that was most accurate tracking Irma as it moved closer to landfall, shows a turn back towards the Atlantic beginning some time Saturday.